The global economy is undergoing a fundamental shift from an era of free trade to an era of scarcity. Commodities are no longer mere trade goods, but instruments of national security and expressions of geopolitical power. The US government’s announcement that it will create an exclusive commodity trading bloc demonstrates this. At the same time, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has heralded the age of electrification, in which demand for copper, rare earths, lithium, and antimony is rising to historic highs due to the expansion of global data centers for artificial intelligence and the decarbonization of industry. S&P Global forecasts a copper deficit of 10 million tons by 2040. China continues to control over 50% of refined copper production and dominates the supply of 19 out of 20 critical minerals. This concentration is forcing Western countries and investors to rethink their strategies. We present options that have received little attention so far.
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Investors often focus on big names such as Barrick and MP Materials
Private investors and professional market participants are increasingly focusing on commodities as a result of supply issues and geopolitical conflicts. Most capital flows to obvious producers such as Barrick Mining or MP Materials, which focus on vertical integration in the United States. Barrick scores with economies of scale in gold and copper mining, while MP Materials addresses the US supply of rare earths. In doing so, many investors overlook basic investments such as Globex Mining, which, as a project generator, offers broad risk diversification and potential across various commodities.
Globex Mining and the Property Bank Model
Globex Mining’s (TSX:GMX) business model differs fundamentally from traditional mining companies, which invest billions in the development and operation of individual mines. Globex acts as a kind of commodity asset manager and project generator that takes a countercyclical approach. Globex acquires promising properties during periods of low prices, evaluates them using geological expertise, and then options them to partner companies. A partner company obtains the right to participate in a project by making annual cash payments to Globex, transferring share packages, and investing a specific exploration budget in the property. Once these conditions are met, Globex typically retains a gross metal royalty (GMR) on future production.
This approach shifts the financial risk of exploration and mine development to the partner. However, Globex benefits from their discoveries without burdening its own balance sheet with expensive drilling programs or diluting shareholders through constant capital increases. CEO Jack Stoch has led the company for over four decades and built a portfolio of over 260 projects covering the diversity of the most sought-after metals. This structure creates a pipeline for future cash flows and reduces dependence on the success of any single exploration project. The diversified portfolio provides the company with income streams through option payments while securing the option to earn royalties from retained license fees.
Exploration successes and a crisis-proof balance sheet
Most recently, Globex has strengthened its position with discoveries in critical commodity segments. One relevant development is the Bald Hill antimony project led by Antimony Resources in the New Brunswick district of Canada, where massive stibnite mineralization was discovered in February. Antimony is considered a critical metal for the defense industry for hardening ammunition and for infrared sensors, as well as for modern battery technologies. The discovery of grades between 3% and 5% antimony underscores the value of the portfolio in a market phase in which China is enforcing export restrictions on this sought-after element. In addition, Globex recently announced the discovery of rare earth mineralization in the state of Nevada.
Globex’s financial stability is a guarantee for its business model and also gives investors peace of mind. With over CAD 40 million in cash and equity holdings and no debt, the company has an extremely robust balance sheet that allows for flexibility without interest rate risk. Extremely low dilution over decades is reflected in the 56.39 million shares outstanding, while 106 royalties are on the books.
Barrick and MP Materials in direct comparison
In contrast to Globex’s broad approach, Barrick Mining and MP Materials focus on fewer commodities and a more concentrated business model. Globex Mining avoids these direct operational hurdles and acts as a basic investment that market experts often compare to a commodity ETF. Its broad positioning across almost all relevant metals offers protection against price fluctuations and allows investors to participate in the commodity boom across the entire market. The stock has now jumped and is likely to attract further interest given its unique key data.
Conflict of interest
Pursuant to §85 of the German Securities Trading Act (WpHG), we point out that Apaton Finance GmbH as well as partners, authors or employees of Apaton Finance GmbH (hereinafter referred to as “Relevant Persons”) may hold shares or other financial instruments of the aforementioned companies in the future or may bet on rising or falling prices and thus a conflict of interest may arise in the future. The Relevant Persons reserve the right to buy or sell shares or other financial instruments of the Company at any time (hereinafter each a “Transaction”). Transactions may, under certain circumstances, influence the respective price of the shares or other financial instruments of the Company.
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For this reason, there is a concrete conflict of interest.
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